FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY

FNUS53 KJKL 152002 FWFJKL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 402 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS EVENING...SPREADING SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM...ACROSS THE AREA. THE SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL RETURN FOR SATURDAY AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. KYZ044-050>052-161315- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD 402 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.37 INCHES. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........52-60 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....27. VENT RATE...........POOR (26800 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....140. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (140200 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES. $$ KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-161315- ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE- MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE- MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER- MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO... PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE... CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON... HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG... INEZ...PIKEVILLE 402 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.66 INCHES. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....27. VENT RATE...........POOR (27400 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....113. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (112600 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ WJM