|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FNUS52 KILM 161443
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE HAVING MOVED UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...WILL
RE-DEVELOP OFF THE DELMARVA COAST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL
INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST...AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST
TONIGHT. ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND...
FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL AGAIN PREVAIL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER MORE
SUBSTANTIAL COLD FRONT WITH BETTER RAINFALL POTENTIAL...WILL
MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
NCZ097-100-101-170645-
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...
WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 56 78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 12 G30 W 12 G27 NW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 15 G30 NW 9 SW 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 2
INVERSION NONE NONE NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%) 46 86 31
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5790 5460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 W 10
VENTILATION RATE 150540 54600
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170645-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 55 78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 G21 W 11 G21 NW 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 13 G22 NW 8 SW 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.08 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION NONE NONE NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%) 43 77 30
DSI 2 4
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6010 6290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 W 14
VENTILATION RATE 156260 88060
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ034-046-170645-
HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 40 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 57 78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 12 G27 W 12 G26 NW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 14 G27 NW 8 SW 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.11 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 2
INVERSION NONE NONE NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%) 48 84 33
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5820 5710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 W 10
VENTILATION RATE 139680 57100
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-170645-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 53 79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 G21 W 10 G21 NW 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 13 G24 NW 7 SW 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.08 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION NONE NONE NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%) 42 72 29
DSI 2 4
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5960 6410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 W 15
VENTILATION RATE 149000 96150
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-170645-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
1043 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 86 56 79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 G21 W 10 G21 NW 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 14 G24 NW 7 SW 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.09 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 2
INVERSION NONE NONE NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%) 43 75 30
DSI 3 4
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6100 6160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 W 12
VENTILATION RATE 146400 73920
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
$$
29