FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ

FNUS55 KTWC 151251 FWFTWC FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 600 AM MST THU MAY 15 2008 .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TODAY...THEN SAG SOUTHWARD FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER LATE TODAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. BREEZY EAST WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MEET OR EXCEED RED FLAG CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK. AZZ146-152215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146 NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER- APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC- 600 AM MST THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........70 TO 80 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........59 TO 70 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........UP 3 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........18 TO 27 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........27 TO 36 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 4 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............11088 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTH 5 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (55440 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........46 TO 56 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........35 TO 46 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........61 TO 75 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........75 TO 89 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 25 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. LAL......................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........68 TO 77 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........57 TO 68 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 3 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........24 TO 30 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........30 TO 39 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............10977 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 13 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (142701 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 34 TO 50. HIGHS 61 TO 75. EAST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 20 TO 35 PCT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 36 TO 50. HIGHS 66 TO 82. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 11 TO 26 PCT. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 53. HIGHS 71 TO 87. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 10 TO 19 PCT. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 54. HIGHS 71 TO 88. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 56. HIGHS 72 TO 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 146 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ147-152215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147 SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY- TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC- 600 AM MST THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON... MAINLY EASTERN AREAS. MAX TEMPERATURE..........83 TO 93 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY.............10 TO 19 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT EAST...0 PCT WEST. LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............14798 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 6 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....VERY GOOD (88788 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY EASTERN AREAS. MIN TEMPERATURE..........55 TO 65 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY.............34 TO 44 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........UP 2 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTH 1O TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT EAST...0 PCT WEST. LAL......................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE..........82 TO 92 DEGS. 24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY.............13 TO 23 PCT. 24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 4 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING EAST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............12989 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 10 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (129890 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 67. HIGHS 83 TO 99. NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 15 TO 25 PCT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56 TO 67. HIGHS 88 TO 102. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 10 TO 20 PCT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 70. HIGHS 90 TO 104. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 8 TO 18 PCT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59 TO 71. HIGHS 92 TO 105. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62 TO 71. HIGHS 93 TO 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 147 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ148-152215- ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148 GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/ SAFFORD BLM/TDC- 600 AM MST THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER..............BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........74 TO 85 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........62 TO 74 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........UP 4 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........14 TO 21 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........21 TO 31 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 3 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............10733 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 5 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (53665 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........40 TO 50 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........UP 3 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........44 TO 57 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........57 TO 69 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 9 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.......... BELOW 5000 FT.........70 TO 81 DEGS ABOVE 5000 FT.........56 TO 69 DEGS 24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 TO 6 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY............. BELOW 5000 FT.........22 TO 34 PCT ABOVE 5000 FT.........34 TO 45 PCT 24 HR TREND...........UP 8 TO 14 PCT. WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST 15 TO 20 MPH. FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. LAL......................2. HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT............6488 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 13 KNOTS. VENTILATION CATEGORY.....VERY GOOD (84344 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 47 TO 63. HIGHS 75 TO 92. EAST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 26 TO 41 PCT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46 TO 62. HIGHS 82 TO 97. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 13 TO 28 PCT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52 TO 68. HIGHS 86 TO 99. WEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 10 TO 25 PCT. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 52 TO 68. HIGHS 86 TO 100. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52 TO 68. HIGHS 90 TO 102. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 148 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON