obsheader.gif (5524) bytes)


FNUS54 KMRX 151917
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.




VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   59-64 (-4)   41-46        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   55-60 (-13)  95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW  8 G16    NW  6        SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.07         0.00         0.01         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         41                        98           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   59-64 (-3)   40-45        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  56-61 (-11)  95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 11 G20     NW  8 G18    W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         40                        79           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   61-66 (-2)   40-45        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (-17)  88-93        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        NW 10 G22    NW  5        W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         24                        53           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   66-71 (+1)   41-46        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-22)  87-92        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        NW  8 G17    NW  6        W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         34                        55           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   67-72 (+2)   41-46        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-23)  88-93        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW  8 G17    NW  7 G15    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         40                        58           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   63-68 (-2)   42-47        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    51-56 (-17)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         49                        93           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   66-71 (0)    42-47        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    44-49 (-26)  91-96        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         44                        88           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
317 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 /217 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2008/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    67-72 (+1)   44-49        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    47-52 (-23)  91-96        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW  8 G15    NW  6        W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         45                        74           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$