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FNUS51 KBUF 150901
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
501 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION 
WILL PROVIDE IMPROVING WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH PLENTY 
OF SUNSHINE AT LEAST AS FAR EAST AS THE FINGER LAKES AND AT LEAST 
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES FURTHER EAST. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK 
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WE 
WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THIS SYSTEM WITH A LITTLE LIGHT 
RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE THE SOUTHERN TIER FRIDAY. UNSETTLED AND 
COOLER THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE AREA.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-152115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
501 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           40           64
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10                      E  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11         N  6        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                                
PRECIP BEGIN                                                   
PRECIP END                                                     
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               39           89           41
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6170           80         7780
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8         N  4         N  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               49360          320        38900
DISPERSION INDEX                   49            0           39
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-152115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
501 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       63           38           62
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 10                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N  6      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         9 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               36           93           39
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6760          170         6780
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8        NE  8         N  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               54080         1360        33900
DISPERSION INDEX                   54            1           34
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-152115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
501 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       65           41           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 13                      E  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 12         N  5        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                                
PRECIP BEGIN                                                   
PRECIP END                                                     
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               38           90           41
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6150           80         6610
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  9         W  2         N  4
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               55350          160        26440
DISPERSION INDEX                   55            0           26
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-152115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
501 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       63           36           61
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  9                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 13         W  5      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                                
PRECIP BEGIN                                                   
PRECIP END                                                     
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               41           97           36
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6520            0         7090
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 13        NE  2         N  4
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               84760            0        28360
DISPERSION INDEX                   85            0           28
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. 

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. 
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. 
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

SAGE