FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI

FNUS53 KMQT 150925 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 ...MAINLY DRY TODAY THEN A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY DEPART TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY...BUT DRY AIR WILL LINGER MAINLY OVER THE WEST HALF WITH THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING NEAR 25 PERCENT THERE. AS THE HIGH MOVES AWAY TONIGHT...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST AND BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. EXPECT ANOTHER STRONGER DISTURBANCE TO BARREL INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES LATE ON FRIDAY...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BREEZY...COOL AND SHOWERY WEATHER WILL LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND IN THE STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW LEFT IN THE WAKE OF THIS DISTURBANCE. MIZ002-009-084-161100- WEST - GOGEBIC...ONTONAGON AND SOUTHERN HOUGHTON COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 /425 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2008/ .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67 INLAND TO AROUND 61 AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. HOURS OF SUN........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY MIDNIGHT...THEN DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN. HOURS OF SUN........4. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ001-003-161100- KEWEENAW PENINSULA - KEWEENAW AND NORTHERN HOUGHTON COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE MORNING. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. HOURS OF SUN........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 INLAND TO AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN. HOURS OF SUN........3. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ004-005-161100- NORTH CENTRAL - BARAGA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH. HOURS OF SUN........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN. HOURS OF SUN........4. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ010>012-161100- SOUTH CENTRAL - IRON...DICKINSON AND MENOMINEE COUNTIES- 425 AM CDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT INLAND TO 40 PERCENT AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. HOURS OF SUN........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE MORNING. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN. HOURS OF SUN........4. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ006>008-085-161100- NORTHEAST - ALGER...LUCE...NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT AND CHIPPEWA COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 INLAND TO AROUND 58 AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 INCH. HOURS OF SUN........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY BY MID AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 INLAND TO AROUND 52 AT THE SHORE. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 MPH OR LESS BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.15 IN. HOURS OF SUN........4. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ013>015-161100- SOUTHEAST - DELTA...SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT AND MACKINAC COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 INLAND TO AROUND 55 AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT INLAND TO 50 PERCENT AT THE SHORE. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. HOURS OF SUN........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 80 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 INLAND TO AROUND 53 AT THE SHORE. MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT INLAND TO 55 PERCENT AT THE SHORE. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN. HOURS OF SUN........4. LAL.................1. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 38 TO 46. HIGHS 45 TO 60...COOLEST NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS CENTRAL AND EAST. LOWS 35 TO 42. HIGHS 49 TO 58...WARMEST INTERIOR WEST HALF. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EAST DURING THE DAY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 51 TO 60...WARMEST INTERIOR WEST HALF. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 37. HIGHS 57 TO 62 INLAND TO AROUND 53 AT THE SHORE. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 38. HIGHS 58 TO 63 INLAND TO AROUND 54 AT THE SHORE. .OUTLOOK FOR THU MAY 22 THROUGH WED MAY 28...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. $$ ...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA.................... THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY... HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 8500 / SW 9 / 765 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 8200 / W 12 / 984 (E) 201205 / ELKHORN/ 4 LOW / 1200 / SW 13 / 156 (F) 200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 9300 / W 13 / 1209 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 9000 / SW 12 / 1080 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 9600 / W 18 / 1728 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 6300 / W 14 / 882 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 10000 / W 12 / 1200 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 4900 / W 14 / 686 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 3500 / W 13 / 455 (G) 201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 7400 / W 13 / 962 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 7100 / W 14 / 994 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 6200 / SW 12 / 744 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 8800 / SW 13 / 1144 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 9500 / W 13 / 1235 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 1900 / W 12 / 228 (F) / KEW/ 4 LOW / 6000 / W 24 / 1440 (E) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) FRI... HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 8900 / W 14 / 1246 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 7500 / W 13 / 975 (E) 201205 / ELKHORN/ 5 MODERATE / 4400 / W 9 / 396 (G) 200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 7800 / W 18 / 1404 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 8000 / W 16 / 1280 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 7100 / W 27 / 1917 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 5900 / NW 16 / 944 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 8500 / W 19 / 1615 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 6200 / NW 13 / 806 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 5 MODERATE / 5700 / NW 17 / 969 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 7000 / W 11 / 770 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / W 12 / 636 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 5600 / W 10 / 560 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 6600 / W 29 / 1914 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 7700 / W 25 / 1925 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 3100 / W 18 / 558 (G) / KEW/ 4 LOW / 300 / SW 29 / 87 (P) NOTE: MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR ..................................................................... THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST. NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS. WIMS ID/ SITE/TEMP/ RH/WSPD/WDIR/ QPF ---------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 66/ 37/ 6/ SW/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 64/ 37/ 6/ W/0.00 201205 / ELKHORN/ 59/ 50/ 6/ SW/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 65/ 31/ 7/ W/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 66/ 33/ 6/ W/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 66/ 34/ 8/ W/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 61/ 42/ 7/ SW/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 66/ 31/ 6/ W/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 61/ 43/ 8/ SW/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 59/ 43/ 8/ SW/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 63/ 41/ 6/ SW/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 61/ 43/ 7/ SW/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 63/ 42/ 5/ SW/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 66/ 30/ 7/ W/0.00 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 65/ 29/ 7/ W/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 53/ 47/ 4/ SW/0.00 / KEW/ 63/ 38/ 12/ W/0.00 $$ KC