|
|
|
|
|
|
FNUS53 KGRR 041915
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
...MOSTLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES SOUTH OF LOWER MICHIGAN. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING ISOLATED
SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN
DRY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-050815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2200-2700 FT AGL
DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3800-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
8200-8700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1600 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1000-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
7900-8400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-1800 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ040-046-050815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-050815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...700-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
7900-8400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2000-2100 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-050815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300-9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-050815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
315 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
$$
OSTUNO NJJ