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FNUS53 KGRR 151920
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
...RAIN LATE FRIDAY...
.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO
FRIDAY NIGHT AND BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TO THE REGION. QPF
AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH IS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-160815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...800-1300 FT AGL. INLAND
5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
8600-9100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-2000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-500 FT AGL. INLAND
4000-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
10600-11100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...4000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 5000 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ040-046-160815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 700 (EXCELLENT)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.13 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500-10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 50
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...4100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 4900 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-160815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2200-2700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. INLAND 5400-5900 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
8000-8500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-500 FT AGL. INLAND
2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3100-3600 FT AGL. INLAND
8100-8600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400-10900 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 4500 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-160815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2000 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.13 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500-11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
AROUND 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...4100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 5000 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-160815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 15
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1900 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300-10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...3400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 4600 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
$$